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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.41+2.38vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.27+1.56vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.17+0.72vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.51-0.77vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.15-1.12vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.52-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38Tufts University3.410.2%1st Place
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3.56University of Vermont3.270.2%1st Place
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3.72University of South Florida3.170.1%1st Place
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3.23University of Vermont3.510.2%1st Place
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3.88University of South Florida3.150.1%1st Place
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3.23Bowdoin College3.520.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Nickerson | 17.0% | 18.7% | 17.1% | 17.5% | 15.4% | 14.3% |
| Michael Booker | 16.6% | 16.7% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 17.6% | 18.4% |
| Connor Brady | 14.4% | 14.0% | 15.5% | 16.6% | 20.6% | 18.9% |
| OJ O'Connell | 19.8% | 18.3% | 18.5% | 16.9% | 15.8% | 10.7% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 12.0% | 13.6% | 16.6% | 15.3% | 17.5% | 25.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 20.2% | 18.7% | 17.4% | 17.9% | 13.1% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.