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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.51+2.26vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.15+1.71vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.52+0.17vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.17-0.25vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.41-1.48vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.27-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.26University of Vermont3.510.2%1st Place
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3.71University of South Florida3.150.1%1st Place
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3.17Bowdoin College3.520.2%1st Place
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3.75University of South Florida3.170.1%1st Place
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3.52Tufts University3.410.2%1st Place
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3.61University of Vermont3.270.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OJ O'Connell | 19.1% | 19.3% | 18.6% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 13.1% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 14.4% | 17.2% | 12.5% | 16.7% | 17.8% | 21.4% |
| Michael Croteau | 21.2% | 18.1% | 18.8% | 16.2% | 15.7% | 10.0% |
| Connor Brady | 14.0% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 18.5% | 18.7% | 20.0% |
| Dan Nickerson | 15.5% | 17.3% | 17.9% | 15.8% | 16.4% | 17.1% |
| Michael Booker | 15.8% | 14.7% | 16.8% | 17.0% | 17.3% | 18.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.