← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Michigan-0.44+2.76vs Predicted
-
2Michigan State University-0.06+1.21vs Predicted
-
3Hope College-0.14+0.35vs Predicted
-
4Western Michigan University-1.85+2.17vs Predicted
-
5Purdue University0.30-2.29vs Predicted
-
6Grand Valley State University-0.85-1.54vs Predicted
-
7Miami University-2.22-0.48vs Predicted
-
8Michigan Technological University-1.71-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.76University of Michigan-0.4415.3%1st Place
-
3.21Michigan State University-0.0620.5%1st Place
-
3.35Hope College-0.1418.4%1st Place
-
6.17Western Michigan University-1.853.6%1st Place
-
2.71Purdue University0.3027.3%1st Place
-
4.46Grand Valley State University-0.858.6%1st Place
-
6.52Miami University-2.222.4%1st Place
-
5.82Michigan Technological University-1.713.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Glen Warren | 15.3% | 15.0% | 16.0% | 16.7% | 15.7% | 13.1% | 6.9% | 1.4% |
Leonard Alberty | 20.5% | 19.1% | 18.4% | 18.2% | 12.8% | 7.8% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
Jennifer Falkner | 18.4% | 19.7% | 17.8% | 16.2% | 14.2% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
William O'Haver | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 17.3% | 27.3% | 28.2% |
William Bernhardt | 27.3% | 24.7% | 20.0% | 13.2% | 9.2% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
Carly Irwin | 8.6% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 20.0% | 18.1% | 10.9% | 4.1% |
Elizabeth Bittner | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 21.5% | 43.1% |
Avie Krauss | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 19.1% | 24.6% | 21.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.