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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.17+2.79vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.27+1.54vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.15+0.73vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.51-0.78vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.52-1.68vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.41-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79University of South Florida3.170.1%1st Place
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3.54University of Vermont3.270.2%1st Place
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3.73University of South Florida3.150.1%1st Place
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3.22University of Vermont3.510.2%1st Place
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3.32Bowdoin College3.520.2%1st Place
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3.4Tufts University3.410.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Brady | 12.7% | 14.6% | 16.5% | 15.2% | 19.4% | 21.6% |
| Michael Booker | 16.1% | 17.9% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 16.4% | 18.7% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 14.3% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 18.8% | 20.4% | 18.7% |
| OJ O'Connell | 20.1% | 17.3% | 20.1% | 17.0% | 14.3% | 11.2% |
| Michael Croteau | 18.7% | 19.6% | 16.9% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 14.9% |
| Dan Nickerson | 18.1% | 16.9% | 17.2% | 17.5% | 15.4% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.