← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Western Michigan University-0.74+2.23vs Predicted
-
2Michigan State University0.48-0.19vs Predicted
-
3University of Michigan-1.64+1.56vs Predicted
-
4Miami University-2.20+1.38vs Predicted
-
5Grand Valley State University-0.76-1.71vs Predicted
-
6University of Toledo-1.64-1.39vs Predicted
-
7Purdue University-2.57-0.98vs Predicted
-
8Saginaw Valley State University-3.47-0.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.23Western Michigan University-0.7415.9%1st Place
-
1.81Michigan State University0.4850.0%1st Place
-
4.56University of Michigan-1.646.3%1st Place
-
5.38Miami University-2.204.1%1st Place
-
3.29Grand Valley State University-0.7614.6%1st Place
-
4.61University of Toledo-1.645.9%1st Place
-
6.02Purdue University-2.572.3%1st Place
-
7.1Saginaw Valley State University-3.470.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Harkins | 15.9% | 20.7% | 22.2% | 18.4% | 13.7% | 7.0% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Monika Torkos | 50.0% | 28.0% | 14.7% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max McCumber | 6.3% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 18.1% | 18.9% | 18.6% | 11.8% | 4.0% |
| Graham Parsons | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 15.9% | 21.4% | 23.7% | 10.2% |
| Garrett Szlachta | 14.6% | 21.4% | 20.6% | 19.4% | 14.7% | 7.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Silecky | 5.9% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 16.4% | 20.0% | 17.8% | 13.2% | 4.0% |
| Kellyn Bucceri | 2.3% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 18.0% | 31.7% | 20.4% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 10.0% | 16.1% | 60.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.