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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.17+2.80vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.27+1.53vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.51+0.19vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.41-0.63vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.52-1.67vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.15-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.8University of South Florida3.170.1%1st Place
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3.53University of Vermont3.270.2%1st Place
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3.19University of Vermont3.510.2%1st Place
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3.37Tufts University3.410.2%1st Place
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3.33Bowdoin College3.520.2%1st Place
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3.78University of South Florida3.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Brady | 12.6% | 15.0% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 20.3% | 21.7% |
| Michael Booker | 16.5% | 17.8% | 15.0% | 15.9% | 16.8% | 18.0% |
| OJ O'Connell | 20.6% | 18.7% | 18.3% | 16.6% | 15.4% | 10.4% |
| Dan Nickerson | 17.8% | 16.8% | 18.1% | 18.1% | 16.6% | 12.6% |
| Michael Croteau | 18.6% | 17.9% | 18.1% | 17.2% | 13.3% | 14.9% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 13.9% | 13.8% | 14.9% | 17.4% | 17.6% | 22.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.