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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.27+2.64vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.51+1.15vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.15+0.76vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.52-0.80vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.41-1.52vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.17-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.64University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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3.15University of Vermont3.510.2%1st Place
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3.76University of South Florida3.150.1%1st Place
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3.2Bowdoin College3.520.2%1st Place
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3.48Tufts University3.410.2%1st Place
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3.77University of South Florida3.170.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Booker | 14.0% | 16.6% | 15.9% | 16.9% | 18.3% | 18.3% |
| OJ O'Connell | 21.1% | 20.2% | 17.4% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 10.6% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 14.2% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 17.6% | 20.5% | 19.6% |
| Michael Croteau | 20.1% | 18.2% | 19.6% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 10.7% |
| Dan Nickerson | 16.3% | 18.6% | 15.9% | 17.5% | 13.5% | 18.2% |
| Connor Brady | 14.3% | 13.4% | 16.1% | 16.5% | 17.1% | 22.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.