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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Grand Valley State University-0.76+2.24vs Predicted
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2University of Toledo-1.64+2.77vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University-0.74+0.26vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-0.40-1.30vs Predicted
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5Miami University-2.20+0.49vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-2.57+0.08vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-0.79-3.71vs Predicted
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8Saginaw Valley State University-3.47-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.24Grand Valley State University-0.7620.6%1st Place
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4.77University of Toledo-1.646.6%1st Place
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3.26Western Michigan University-0.7418.3%1st Place
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2.7University of Michigan-0.4027.1%1st Place
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5.49Miami University-2.204.6%1st Place
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6.08Purdue University-2.573.1%1st Place
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3.29Michigan State University-0.7918.6%1st Place
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7.16Saginaw Valley State University-3.471.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Garrett Szlachta | 20.6% | 18.0% | 17.6% | 18.6% | 14.0% | 8.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
Nicholas Silecky | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 15.2% | 20.9% | 18.7% | 15.0% | 5.0% |
Tony Harkins | 18.3% | 20.2% | 18.9% | 17.7% | 13.2% | 8.1% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
Colby Peplinski | 27.1% | 25.3% | 20.3% | 12.9% | 8.6% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
Graham Parsons | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 14.8% | 23.4% | 24.3% | 11.8% |
Kellyn Bucceri | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 20.0% | 32.9% | 20.2% |
Cameron Dick | 18.6% | 17.9% | 19.3% | 18.8% | 14.2% | 8.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
Adam Bryan | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 8.9% | 18.5% | 61.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.