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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.41+2.40vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.17+1.70vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.15+0.75vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.51-0.78vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.52-1.68vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.27-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.4Tufts University3.410.2%1st Place
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3.7University of South Florida3.170.1%1st Place
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3.75University of South Florida3.150.1%1st Place
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3.22University of Vermont3.510.2%1st Place
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3.32Bowdoin College3.520.2%1st Place
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3.62University of Vermont3.270.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Nickerson | 16.5% | 18.7% | 17.5% | 17.0% | 15.9% | 14.4% |
| Connor Brady | 14.9% | 15.7% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 17.6% | 21.5% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 14.0% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 20.3% | 19.5% |
| OJ O'Connell | 20.1% | 17.6% | 18.8% | 18.1% | 14.9% | 10.5% |
| Michael Croteau | 18.6% | 19.5% | 17.6% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 15.1% |
| Michael Booker | 15.9% | 14.7% | 16.5% | 16.8% | 17.1% | 19.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.