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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.52+2.24vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.17+1.69vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.51+0.17vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.27-0.40vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.41-1.49vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.15-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.24Bowdoin College3.520.2%1st Place
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3.69University of South Florida3.170.1%1st Place
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3.17University of Vermont3.510.2%1st Place
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3.6University of Vermont3.270.2%1st Place
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3.51Tufts University3.410.2%1st Place
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3.79University of South Florida3.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Croteau | 19.2% | 19.2% | 19.3% | 16.1% | 13.2% | 13.0% |
| Connor Brady | 14.8% | 16.9% | 13.0% | 16.5% | 17.5% | 21.3% |
| OJ O'Connell | 21.0% | 18.6% | 18.6% | 16.3% | 15.4% | 10.1% |
| Michael Booker | 15.5% | 14.5% | 16.6% | 18.3% | 18.2% | 16.9% |
| Dan Nickerson | 15.9% | 17.0% | 17.8% | 15.8% | 16.3% | 17.2% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 13.6% | 13.8% | 14.7% | 17.0% | 19.4% | 21.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.