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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.17+2.78vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.27+1.55vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.41+0.34vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.52-0.79vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.15-1.13vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.51-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.78University of South Florida3.170.1%1st Place
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3.55University of Vermont3.270.2%1st Place
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3.34Tufts University3.410.2%1st Place
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3.21Bowdoin College3.520.2%1st Place
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3.87University of South Florida3.150.1%1st Place
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3.24University of Vermont3.510.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Brady | 12.5% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 16.3% | 18.6% | 21.8% |
| Michael Booker | 16.3% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 15.4% | 17.8% | 17.9% |
| Dan Nickerson | 18.7% | 17.6% | 15.7% | 19.0% | 16.9% | 12.1% |
| Michael Croteau | 20.1% | 17.7% | 20.0% | 16.2% | 15.2% | 10.8% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 12.1% | 13.8% | 15.9% | 15.7% | 18.0% | 24.5% |
| OJ O'Connell | 20.3% | 18.3% | 17.6% | 17.4% | 13.5% | 12.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.