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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University-2.57+4.85vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University-0.74+0.98vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-0.79+0.01vs Predicted
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4Miami University-2.20+1.38vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University-0.76-2.08vs Predicted
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6Saginaw Valley State University-3.47+1.09vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-1.64-2.59vs Predicted
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8University of Toledo-1.64-3.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.85Purdue University-2.573.2%1st Place
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2.98Western Michigan University-0.7423.5%1st Place
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3.01Michigan State University-0.7923.2%1st Place
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5.38Miami University-2.205.6%1st Place
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2.92Grand Valley State University-0.7624.4%1st Place
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7.09Saginaw Valley State University-3.471.2%1st Place
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4.41University of Michigan-1.649.3%1st Place
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4.37University of Toledo-1.649.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kellyn Bucceri | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 18.4% | 28.9% | 18.6% |
Tony Harkins | 23.5% | 21.6% | 19.1% | 15.7% | 12.0% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
Cameron Dick | 23.2% | 21.3% | 18.9% | 16.6% | 10.6% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
Graham Parsons | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 14.6% | 21.2% | 22.7% | 12.7% |
Garrett Szlachta | 24.4% | 21.1% | 20.8% | 16.0% | 10.2% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
Adam Bryan | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 17.8% | 60.4% |
Max McCumber | 9.3% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 16.6% | 18.1% | 17.8% | 11.8% | 3.4% |
Nicholas Silecky | 9.5% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 17.8% | 16.4% | 12.2% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.