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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University0.48+1.01vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University-0.74+1.59vs Predicted
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3Miami University-2.20+2.65vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-0.40-0.93vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University-0.76-1.47vs Predicted
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6University of Toledo-1.64-1.17vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-2.57-0.83vs Predicted
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8Saginaw Valley State University-3.47-0.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01Michigan State University0.4843.3%1st Place
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3.59Western Michigan University-0.7412.2%1st Place
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5.65Miami University-2.203.5%1st Place
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3.07University of Michigan-0.4019.0%1st Place
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3.53Grand Valley State University-0.7613.8%1st Place
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4.83University of Toledo-1.645.5%1st Place
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6.17Purdue University-2.572.0%1st Place
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7.15Saginaw Valley State University-3.470.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monika Torkos | 43.3% | 29.0% | 15.5% | 8.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tony Harkins | 12.2% | 17.4% | 19.4% | 21.0% | 15.6% | 9.8% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Graham Parsons | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 14.9% | 24.6% | 25.3% | 12.4% |
| Colby Peplinski | 19.0% | 21.6% | 22.7% | 16.2% | 13.4% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Garrett Szlachta | 13.8% | 16.4% | 19.1% | 21.3% | 16.4% | 9.4% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Silecky | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 14.9% | 21.9% | 21.0% | 14.8% | 4.2% |
| Kellyn Bucceri | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 10.6% | 20.1% | 33.6% | 20.4% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 8.8% | 18.1% | 61.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.