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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.17+2.79vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.41+1.31vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.51+0.19vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.27-0.39vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.15-1.12vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.52-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79University of South Florida3.170.1%1st Place
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3.31Tufts University3.410.2%1st Place
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3.19University of Vermont3.510.2%1st Place
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3.61University of Vermont3.270.2%1st Place
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3.88University of South Florida3.150.1%1st Place
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3.21Bowdoin College3.520.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Brady | 12.4% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 17.3% | 17.4% | 22.6% |
| Dan Nickerson | 19.1% | 18.3% | 17.8% | 14.5% | 17.7% | 12.6% |
| OJ O'Connell | 20.3% | 18.9% | 18.0% | 16.9% | 16.1% | 9.8% |
| Michael Booker | 15.7% | 14.6% | 15.7% | 18.3% | 18.3% | 17.4% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 11.8% | 14.4% | 15.7% | 15.7% | 16.9% | 25.5% |
| Michael Croteau | 20.7% | 18.1% | 18.2% | 17.3% | 13.6% | 12.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.