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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.52+2.29vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.51+1.23vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.27+0.63vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.65-0.92vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.15-1.08vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.17-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.29Bowdoin College3.520.2%1st Place
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3.23University of Vermont3.510.2%1st Place
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3.63University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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3.08Tufts University3.650.2%1st Place
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3.92University of South Florida3.150.1%1st Place
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3.84University of South Florida3.170.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Croteau | 18.7% | 18.6% | 17.7% | 17.7% | 14.3% | 13.0% |
| OJ O'Connell | 19.7% | 20.0% | 17.3% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 12.1% |
| Michael Booker | 14.9% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 16.6% | 20.0% | 17.5% |
| Duncan Swain | 21.5% | 19.1% | 20.3% | 15.9% | 15.2% | 8.0% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 11.7% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 17.6% | 25.9% |
| Connor Brady | 13.5% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 18.4% | 17.2% | 23.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.