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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy4.15+0.47vs Predicted
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2American University1.85+2.11vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.50+0.08vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.57+0.62vs Predicted
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5U. S. Military Academy1.02+0.51vs Predicted
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6Hamilton College0.99-0.51vs Predicted
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7University of Rochester0.57-0.77vs Predicted
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8Columbia University0.95-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.47U. S. Naval Academy4.150.7%1st Place
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4.11American University1.850.1%1st Place
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3.08Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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4.62George Washington University1.570.1%1st Place
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5.51U. S. Military Academy1.020.0%1st Place
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5.49Hamilton College0.990.0%1st Place
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6.23University of Rochester0.570.0%1st Place
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5.5Columbia University0.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Nordlund | 66.6% | 23.2% | 7.7% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Russell Gasdia | 6.4% | 14.4% | 20.5% | 17.8% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 7.9% | 2.8% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 12.3% | 29.0% | 24.3% | 17.0% | 10.5% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Hussain Patel | 5.0% | 10.4% | 15.5% | 16.1% | 19.8% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 6.7% |
| Gregory Dempsey | 2.7% | 5.3% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 18.0% | 20.9% | 16.7% |
| Rachel Bristol | 3.2% | 5.3% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 17.0% | 17.1% | 19.4% |
| Adam Bossert | 1.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 20.1% | 37.1% |
| Stephanie Hart | 2.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 15.2% | 20.0% | 18.8% | 16.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.