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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.17+2.84vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.15+1.77vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.65+0.03vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.51-0.71vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.52-1.61vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.27-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.84University of South Florida3.170.1%1st Place
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3.77University of South Florida3.150.1%1st Place
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3.03Tufts University3.650.2%1st Place
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3.29University of Vermont3.510.2%1st Place
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3.39Bowdoin College3.520.2%1st Place
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3.68University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Brady | 11.9% | 14.9% | 15.4% | 15.1% | 21.0% | 21.7% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 13.5% | 15.9% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 18.9% | 22.7% |
| Duncan Swain | 23.1% | 19.4% | 19.1% | 16.7% | 12.8% | 8.9% |
| OJ O'Connell | 18.9% | 17.0% | 18.4% | 18.9% | 15.8% | 11.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 17.6% | 18.5% | 17.0% | 17.4% | 13.5% | 16.0% |
| Michael Booker | 15.0% | 14.3% | 15.4% | 17.6% | 18.0% | 19.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.