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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.15+2.88vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.65+1.03vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.17+0.76vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.51-0.71vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.27-1.25vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.52-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.88University of South Florida3.150.1%1st Place
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3.03Tufts University3.650.2%1st Place
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3.76University of South Florida3.170.1%1st Place
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3.29University of Vermont3.510.2%1st Place
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3.75University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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3.29Bowdoin College3.520.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Mohney | 11.6% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 16.4% | 17.6% | 24.7% |
| Duncan Swain | 23.0% | 21.1% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 15.1% | 8.2% |
| Connor Brady | 14.2% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 17.0% | 21.4% | 19.4% |
| OJ O'Connell | 18.8% | 17.2% | 20.1% | 16.3% | 15.8% | 11.8% |
| Michael Booker | 13.2% | 15.5% | 15.5% | 17.0% | 16.4% | 22.4% |
| Michael Croteau | 19.2% | 18.2% | 17.6% | 17.8% | 13.7% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.