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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University0.48+0.97vs Predicted
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2Hope College-0.31+0.91vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University-0.74+0.61vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-1.64+0.88vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University-0.76-1.43vs Predicted
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6Miami University-2.20-0.26vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-2.57-0.82vs Predicted
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8Saginaw Valley State University-3.47-0.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.97Michigan State University0.4845.6%1st Place
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2.91Hope College-0.3119.8%1st Place
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3.61Western Michigan University-0.7412.2%1st Place
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4.88University of Michigan-1.645.2%1st Place
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3.57Grand Valley State University-0.7612.1%1st Place
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5.74Miami University-2.202.5%1st Place
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6.18Purdue University-2.571.9%1st Place
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7.14Saginaw Valley State University-3.470.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monika Torkos | 45.6% | 26.8% | 16.1% | 8.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Henry | 19.8% | 25.1% | 22.1% | 17.0% | 10.3% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Tony Harkins | 12.2% | 16.1% | 19.8% | 21.0% | 17.0% | 10.3% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Max McCumber | 5.2% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 15.6% | 22.6% | 22.5% | 14.8% | 3.5% |
| Garrett Szlachta | 12.1% | 16.7% | 20.6% | 20.8% | 16.2% | 9.8% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Graham Parsons | 2.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 14.2% | 24.3% | 27.9% | 12.4% |
| Kellyn Bucceri | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 12.6% | 19.7% | 31.9% | 21.4% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 17.8% | 61.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.