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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.27+2.68vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.17+1.76vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.51+0.27vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.65-0.93vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.15-1.06vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.52-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.68University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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3.76University of South Florida3.170.1%1st Place
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3.27University of Vermont3.510.2%1st Place
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3.07Tufts University3.650.2%1st Place
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3.94University of South Florida3.150.1%1st Place
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3.29Bowdoin College3.520.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Booker | 13.3% | 16.3% | 16.2% | 16.8% | 18.4% | 19.0% |
| Connor Brady | 13.9% | 16.7% | 12.4% | 16.2% | 18.5% | 22.3% |
| OJ O'Connell | 20.1% | 16.9% | 17.5% | 18.3% | 16.0% | 11.2% |
| Duncan Swain | 21.9% | 19.1% | 20.2% | 16.2% | 14.2% | 8.4% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 11.5% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 17.8% | 26.6% |
| Michael Croteau | 19.3% | 18.0% | 17.5% | 17.6% | 15.1% | 12.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.