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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+6.43vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.78+6.16vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.85+3.65vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.05+1.60vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+2.45vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.90+0.06vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.92-0.70vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.71+2.74vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.38-0.88vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.40-2.68vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.05+1.82vs Predicted
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12Boston College1.97-2.53vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.10+1.80vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.39-3.46vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.12-6.33vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.71-2.66vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-3.96vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.41-3.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.488.0%1st Place
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8.16University of Rhode Island2.787.0%1st Place
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6.65Brown University2.858.3%1st Place
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5.6Harvard University3.0513.3%1st Place
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7.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.9%1st Place
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6.06Dartmouth College2.9010.9%1st Place
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6.3Yale University2.928.8%1st Place
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10.74Northeastern University1.713.8%1st Place
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8.12Bowdoin College2.386.2%1st Place
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7.32Roger Williams University2.408.0%1st Place
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12.82University of Vermont1.051.5%1st Place
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9.47Boston College1.974.2%1st Place
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14.8University of New Hampshire0.100.7%1st Place
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10.54Boston University1.393.2%1st Place
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8.67Tufts University2.124.2%1st Place
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13.34Connecticut College0.711.4%1st Place
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13.04Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.722.0%1st Place
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14.47Maine Maritime Academy0.411.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 13.3% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.9% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 8.8% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Will Priebe | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 3.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 10.8% |
| Peter Joslin | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Sam Harris | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 17.7% | 31.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.6% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Wade Anthony | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 14.6% |
| Tyler Egeli | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 14.4% | 15.6% | 9.6% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 18.7% | 25.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.