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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.15+2.88vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.27+1.58vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.65+0.03vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.52-0.73vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.51-1.59vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.17-2.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.88University of South Florida3.150.1%1st Place
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3.58University of Vermont3.270.2%1st Place
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3.03Tufts University3.650.2%1st Place
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3.27Bowdoin College3.520.2%1st Place
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3.41University of Vermont3.510.2%1st Place
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3.83University of South Florida3.170.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Mohney | 11.4% | 15.1% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 20.4% | 23.3% |
| Michael Booker | 15.6% | 17.7% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 18.2% | 18.3% |
| Duncan Swain | 23.2% | 19.1% | 19.8% | 16.2% | 12.9% | 8.8% |
| Michael Croteau | 19.1% | 17.3% | 19.1% | 17.4% | 15.9% | 11.2% |
| OJ O'Connell | 17.3% | 17.8% | 16.8% | 18.3% | 13.9% | 15.9% |
| Connor Brady | 13.4% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 17.7% | 18.7% | 22.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.