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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.27+2.69vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.51+1.23vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.52+0.24vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.65-0.92vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.15-1.08vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.17-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.69University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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3.23University of Vermont3.510.2%1st Place
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3.24Bowdoin College3.520.2%1st Place
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3.08Tufts University3.650.2%1st Place
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3.92University of South Florida3.150.1%1st Place
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3.84University of South Florida3.170.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Booker | 13.4% | 16.3% | 15.3% | 17.1% | 18.2% | 19.7% |
| OJ O'Connell | 20.5% | 19.0% | 17.4% | 15.3% | 16.0% | 11.8% |
| Michael Croteau | 20.1% | 18.0% | 17.0% | 18.4% | 15.8% | 10.7% |
| Duncan Swain | 21.4% | 19.2% | 20.9% | 15.3% | 15.1% | 8.1% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 11.4% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 16.4% | 17.4% | 26.0% |
| Connor Brady | 13.2% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 17.5% | 17.5% | 23.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.