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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.78+7.20vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.38+6.16vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+4.48vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.12+4.44vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.05+0.69vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.05+6.65vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.92-0.68vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.97+1.36vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.39+1.48vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire0.10+4.83vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.40-3.56vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.85-5.20vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.90-6.84vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.88-0.77vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-1.86vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.71-5.23vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.41-2.67vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-10.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.2University of Rhode Island2.786.1%1st Place
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8.16Bowdoin College2.385.8%1st Place
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7.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.487.3%1st Place
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8.44Tufts University2.125.7%1st Place
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5.69Harvard University3.0512.8%1st Place
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12.65University of Vermont1.051.7%1st Place
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6.32Yale University2.9210.8%1st Place
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9.36Boston College1.975.0%1st Place
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10.48Boston University1.393.4%1st Place
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14.83University of New Hampshire0.100.8%1st Place
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7.44Roger Williams University2.407.2%1st Place
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6.8Brown University2.858.9%1st Place
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6.16Dartmouth College2.9010.2%1st Place
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13.23Connecticut College0.881.4%1st Place
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13.14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.7%1st Place
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10.77Northeastern University1.712.9%1st Place
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14.33Maine Maritime Academy0.411.2%1st Place
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7.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 12.8% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 9.7% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Joslin | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Sam Harris | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 12.3% | 17.8% | 31.8% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 16.1% | 12.9% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 12.2% |
| Will Priebe | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 3.2% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 17.3% | 26.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.