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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+5.20vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+5.35vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.05+2.72vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.78+4.39vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.71+5.83vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+1.53vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.40+0.43vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.88+5.11vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.85-2.37vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.90-3.91vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+2.00vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.05+0.89vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.12-4.61vs Predicted
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14Boston College1.97-4.75vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.41-0.55vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.38-7.75vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.39-6.33vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire0.10-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.2Yale University2.929.9%1st Place
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7.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.318.7%1st Place
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5.72Harvard University3.0511.2%1st Place
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8.39University of Rhode Island2.785.3%1st Place
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10.83Northeastern University1.713.5%1st Place
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7.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.487.8%1st Place
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7.43Roger Williams University2.407.5%1st Place
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13.11Connecticut College0.881.8%1st Place
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6.63Brown University2.859.0%1st Place
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6.09Dartmouth College2.9011.3%1st Place
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13.0Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.1%1st Place
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12.89University of Vermont1.051.4%1st Place
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8.39Tufts University2.126.3%1st Place
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9.25Boston College1.974.0%1st Place
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14.45Maine Maritime Academy0.410.5%1st Place
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8.25Bowdoin College2.386.3%1st Place
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10.67Boston University1.393.0%1st Place
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14.83University of New Hampshire0.101.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Nicolosi | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.2% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Will Priebe | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 2.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 13.5% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bragg | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 10.6% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 10.6% |
| Trevor Davis | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Peter Joslin | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Henri Richardsson | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 19.9% | 25.9% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Sam Harris | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 17.0% | 32.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.