← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont3.51+2.32vs Predicted
-
2University of Vermont3.27+1.58vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University3.65+0.04vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida3.15-0.18vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College3.52-1.59vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida3.17-2.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.32University of Vermont3.510.2%1st Place
-
3.58University of Vermont3.270.2%1st Place
-
3.04Tufts University3.650.2%1st Place
-
3.82University of South Florida3.150.1%1st Place
-
3.41Bowdoin College3.520.2%1st Place
-
3.83University of South Florida3.170.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OJ O'Connell | 17.8% | 19.1% | 18.5% | 16.0% | 14.9% | 13.7% |
| Michael Booker | 15.8% | 17.5% | 14.2% | 16.5% | 17.4% | 18.6% |
| Duncan Swain | 22.9% | 19.0% | 19.9% | 16.0% | 14.3% | 7.9% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 13.5% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 18.9% | 18.6% | 22.1% |
| Michael Croteau | 16.8% | 17.9% | 18.5% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 15.0% |
| Connor Brady | 13.2% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 16.4% | 19.2% | 22.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.