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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.27+2.69vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.51+1.20vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.17+0.81vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.52-0.74vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.65-1.81vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.15-2.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.69University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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3.2University of Vermont3.510.2%1st Place
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3.81University of South Florida3.170.1%1st Place
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3.26Bowdoin College3.520.2%1st Place
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3.19Tufts University3.650.2%1st Place
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3.83University of South Florida3.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Booker | 13.4% | 15.9% | 16.1% | 16.1% | 19.5% | 19.0% |
| OJ O'Connell | 19.8% | 21.0% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 14.6% | 11.8% |
| Connor Brady | 13.6% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 17.3% | 20.2% | 21.1% |
| Michael Croteau | 18.7% | 18.7% | 18.5% | 17.2% | 15.6% | 11.3% |
| Duncan Swain | 21.3% | 18.5% | 18.0% | 16.6% | 12.9% | 12.7% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 13.2% | 13.3% | 15.8% | 16.4% | 17.2% | 24.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.