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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.05+4.74vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.45+5.27vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.78+5.15vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.92+2.20vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.90+1.17vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.39+4.48vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+0.40vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.12+0.39vs Predicted
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9Boston College1.97+0.24vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.38-1.81vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.85-4.35vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-4.32vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.88+0.24vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.05-1.33vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.71-4.18vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-3.05vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire0.10-2.14vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.27-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.74Harvard University3.0512.1%1st Place
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7.27Roger Williams University2.456.8%1st Place
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8.15University of Rhode Island2.786.8%1st Place
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6.2Yale University2.9211.4%1st Place
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6.17Dartmouth College2.9010.4%1st Place
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10.48Boston University1.393.6%1st Place
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7.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.318.2%1st Place
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8.39Tufts University2.125.7%1st Place
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9.24Boston College1.975.1%1st Place
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8.19Bowdoin College2.385.7%1st Place
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6.65Brown University2.859.8%1st Place
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7.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.486.2%1st Place
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13.24Connecticut College0.881.8%1st Place
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12.67University of Vermont1.051.0%1st Place
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10.82Northeastern University1.712.5%1st Place
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12.95Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.4%1st Place
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14.86University of New Hampshire0.101.1%1st Place
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14.9Maine Maritime Academy0.270.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 12.1% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 11.4% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Peter Joslin | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 16.8% | 11.8% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 9.3% |
| Will Priebe | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 2.8% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 9.3% |
| Sam Harris | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 19.2% | 31.4% |
| Nalu Ho | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 12.5% | 18.9% | 30.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.