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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+5.26vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+5.68vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.85+3.58vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.78+4.38vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.97+4.41vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.90+0.10vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.450.00vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.38+0.22vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.12-0.48vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.71+0.75vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.05-5.28vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-4.73vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.88+0.19vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.39-3.49vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-2.04vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.05-3.24vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire0.10-2.30vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.27-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.26Yale University2.9211.1%1st Place
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7.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.487.2%1st Place
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6.58Brown University2.859.8%1st Place
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8.38University of Rhode Island2.785.5%1st Place
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9.41Boston College1.974.5%1st Place
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6.1Dartmouth College2.9010.3%1st Place
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7.0Roger Williams University2.458.1%1st Place
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8.22Bowdoin College2.385.3%1st Place
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8.52Tufts University2.125.5%1st Place
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10.75Northeastern University1.713.2%1st Place
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5.72Harvard University3.0511.3%1st Place
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7.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.318.6%1st Place
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13.19Connecticut College0.881.6%1st Place
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10.51Boston University1.392.5%1st Place
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12.96Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.7%1st Place
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12.76University of Vermont1.051.8%1st Place
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14.7University of New Hampshire0.101.1%1st Place
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15.0Maine Maritime Academy0.270.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Nicolosi | 11.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Peter Joslin | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Will Priebe | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.3% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 12.4% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 1.6% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 10.3% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 8.6% |
| Sam Harris | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 17.6% | 29.6% |
| Nalu Ho | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 12.3% | 19.2% | 32.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.