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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.27+2.69vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.52+1.21vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.65+0.05vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.51-0.70vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.17-1.12vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.15-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.69University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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3.21Bowdoin College3.520.2%1st Place
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3.05Tufts University3.650.2%1st Place
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3.3University of Vermont3.510.2%1st Place
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3.88University of South Florida3.170.1%1st Place
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3.87University of South Florida3.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Booker | 13.4% | 16.4% | 15.5% | 17.1% | 17.8% | 19.8% |
| Michael Croteau | 20.4% | 19.5% | 17.1% | 15.9% | 15.7% | 11.4% |
| Duncan Swain | 22.7% | 19.4% | 19.0% | 16.5% | 14.0% | 8.4% |
| OJ O'Connell | 18.9% | 17.3% | 18.7% | 17.3% | 16.0% | 11.8% |
| Connor Brady | 11.4% | 15.2% | 14.7% | 16.0% | 17.7% | 25.0% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 13.2% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 17.2% | 18.8% | 23.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.