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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+6.59vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+4.45vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.05+2.91vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+3.65vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.71+5.90vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.45+1.29vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.85-0.37vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.78+0.30vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.90-2.78vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.38-1.75vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.05+1.60vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.12-3.53vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.39-2.28vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.27+1.09vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.88-1.65vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.20-8.23vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire0.10-2.04vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-5.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.4%1st Place
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6.45Yale University2.929.8%1st Place
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5.91Harvard University3.0511.5%1st Place
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7.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.487.2%1st Place
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10.9Northeastern University1.713.0%1st Place
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7.29Roger Williams University2.457.2%1st Place
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6.63Brown University2.859.7%1st Place
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8.3University of Rhode Island2.786.0%1st Place
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6.22Dartmouth College2.9011.3%1st Place
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8.25Bowdoin College2.385.2%1st Place
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12.6University of Vermont1.051.6%1st Place
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8.47Tufts University2.125.0%1st Place
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10.72Boston University1.393.0%1st Place
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15.09Maine Maritime Academy0.270.9%1st Place
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13.35Connecticut College0.881.1%1st Place
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7.77Boston College2.207.0%1st Place
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14.96University of New Hampshire0.100.9%1st Place
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12.86Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.722.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bruce | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.5% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Will Priebe | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 2.6% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 7.7% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Nalu Ho | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 13.2% | 19.1% | 32.5% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 16.4% | 11.5% |
| Michael Kirkman | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Sam Harris | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 19.5% | 32.1% |
| Tyler Egeli | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.