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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.12+7.60vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.78+6.57vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+4.42vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+3.60vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.85+1.83vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.38+2.39vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.05-1.17vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.90-1.76vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.39+1.47vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.92-3.57vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.71-0.25vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.45-4.87vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.20-5.38vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.43-0.52vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-1.85vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.05-3.27vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire0.10-2.33vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.27-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.6Tufts University2.124.9%1st Place
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8.57University of Rhode Island2.785.8%1st Place
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7.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.318.0%1st Place
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7.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.486.8%1st Place
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6.83Brown University2.858.8%1st Place
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8.39Bowdoin College2.385.8%1st Place
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5.83Harvard University3.0511.0%1st Place
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6.24Dartmouth College2.9010.9%1st Place
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10.47Boston University1.393.1%1st Place
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6.43Yale University2.929.6%1st Place
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10.75Northeastern University1.713.2%1st Place
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7.13Roger Williams University2.458.5%1st Place
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7.62Boston College2.206.5%1st Place
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13.48Connecticut College0.431.5%1st Place
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13.15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.8%1st Place
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12.73University of Vermont1.052.0%1st Place
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14.67University of New Hampshire0.100.9%1st Place
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15.09Maine Maritime Academy0.271.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Davis | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.9% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Priebe | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 1.8% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Michael Kirkman | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Powers | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 17.2% | 13.4% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 14.6% | 11.7% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 8.2% |
| Sam Harris | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 18.9% | 28.4% |
| Nalu Ho | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 19.6% | 33.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.