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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy4.15+0.48vs Predicted
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2University of Rochester0.57+4.23vs Predicted
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3American University1.85+1.05vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.50-0.86vs Predicted
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5Hamilton College0.99+0.53vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.57-1.45vs Predicted
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7Columbia University0.95-1.37vs Predicted
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8U. S. Military Academy1.02-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.48U. S. Naval Academy4.150.7%1st Place
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6.23University of Rochester0.570.0%1st Place
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4.05American University1.850.1%1st Place
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3.14Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.53Hamilton College0.990.0%1st Place
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4.55George Washington University1.570.1%1st Place
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5.63Columbia University0.950.0%1st Place
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5.4U. S. Military Academy1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Nordlund | 65.9% | 23.4% | 8.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Bossert | 1.9% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 22.1% | 35.5% |
| Russell Gasdia | 7.7% | 15.3% | 18.3% | 18.6% | 16.7% | 12.8% | 7.4% | 3.2% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 11.8% | 28.0% | 24.8% | 17.4% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Rachel Bristol | 2.4% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 19.6% | 19.3% | 17.6% |
| Hussain Patel | 5.3% | 10.2% | 16.2% | 17.9% | 17.6% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 5.8% |
| Stephanie Hart | 2.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 17.7% | 18.6% | 21.7% |
| Gregory Dempsey | 2.1% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 16.8% | 18.0% | 18.1% | 15.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.