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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.13+0.67vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+1.78vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.86+0.17vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.00+3.07vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.90+1.40vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-1.09+1.44vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-0.69-0.94vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-1.41-0.22vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-1.72-0.61vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.84-3.83vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California-1.60-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.67Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.1357.0%1st Place
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3.78University of California at Santa Cruz0.869.9%1st Place
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3.17University of California at Berkeley0.8616.6%1st Place
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7.07Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.002.2%1st Place
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6.4University of California at San Diego-0.902.5%1st Place
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7.44University of California at Los Angeles-1.092.0%1st Place
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6.06Arizona State University-0.693.2%1st Place
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7.78University of California at Davis-1.410.9%1st Place
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8.39Arizona State University-1.721.2%1st Place
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6.17University of California at Berkeley-0.843.0%1st Place
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8.07University of Southern California-1.601.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Headington | 57.0% | 26.3% | 11.0% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 9.9% | 19.2% | 19.9% | 19.2% | 13.4% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Carsten Zieger | 16.6% | 24.3% | 22.3% | 16.3% | 10.5% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 2.2% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 8.7% |
| Emma Kalway | 2.5% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 15.5% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 4.2% |
| Liam Williams | 2.0% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 13.6% |
| Jaquelyn Quintana | 3.2% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 3.3% |
| Juliette Cramer | 0.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 16.3% | 16.6% |
| Christopher Moore | 1.2% | 1.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 17.6% | 27.3% |
| Bianca Weber | 3.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 3.8% |
| Alex Tang | 1.5% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 16.8% | 22.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.