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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.05+4.85vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+4.23vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+4.78vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.45+3.26vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.12+3.63vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.38+2.14vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.85-0.24vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.10+6.98vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.71+2.02vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.90-3.90vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.39-0.28vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-4.39vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.05-0.19vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.41+0.42vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.78-6.63vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.20-8.16vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-4.07vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College0.71-4.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.85Harvard University3.0510.9%1st Place
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6.23Yale University2.9210.0%1st Place
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7.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.486.7%1st Place
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7.26Roger Williams University2.457.4%1st Place
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8.63Tufts University2.124.4%1st Place
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8.14Bowdoin College2.386.9%1st Place
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6.76Brown University2.858.8%1st Place
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14.98University of New Hampshire0.100.9%1st Place
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11.02Northeastern University1.713.2%1st Place
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6.1Dartmouth College2.9010.8%1st Place
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10.72Boston University1.393.1%1st Place
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7.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.4%1st Place
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12.81University of Vermont1.052.1%1st Place
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14.42Maine Maritime Academy0.411.1%1st Place
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8.37University of Rhode Island2.786.5%1st Place
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7.84Boston College2.206.6%1st Place
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12.93Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.5%1st Place
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13.54Connecticut College0.711.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.9% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sam Harris | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 18.1% | 32.5% |
| Will Priebe | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 3.3% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 9.4% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 17.4% | 24.6% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Michael Kirkman | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 10.4% |
| Wade Anthony | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 15.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.