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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.72+1.20vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.78+0.09vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.14-0.23vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.48-0.52vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.69-1.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2Western Washington University1.720.3%1st Place
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2.09Western Washington University1.780.4%1st Place
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2.77University of Washington1.140.2%1st Place
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3.48Western Washington University0.480.1%1st Place
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4.45Western Washington University-0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Colebrook | 34.2% | 29.7% | 20.4% | 12.9% | 2.8% |
| Carly Temple-Wareham | 37.1% | 29.2% | 22.3% | 10.3% | 1.1% |
| Samuel Fletcher | 18.7% | 22.0% | 28.4% | 25.5% | 5.4% |
| Elise Dresel | 7.5% | 13.9% | 21.7% | 36.6% | 20.3% |
| Evan Derickson | 2.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 14.7% | 70.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.