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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.45+6.19vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.85+4.91vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+4.51vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+3.62vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.12+3.46vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.90+0.21vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.78+1.34vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.20-0.30vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.92-2.40vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.05-4.27vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.38-2.62vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.39-1.40vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.71-2.11vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.05-1.36vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.71-1.45vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-2.84vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.41-2.42vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire0.10-3.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.19Roger Williams University2.458.1%1st Place
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6.91Brown University2.858.1%1st Place
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7.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.1%1st Place
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7.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.486.3%1st Place
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8.46Tufts University2.126.4%1st Place
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6.21Dartmouth College2.9010.4%1st Place
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8.34University of Rhode Island2.786.5%1st Place
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7.7Boston College2.207.1%1st Place
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6.6Yale University2.928.6%1st Place
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5.73Harvard University3.0511.6%1st Place
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8.38Bowdoin College2.385.3%1st Place
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10.6Boston University1.393.6%1st Place
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10.89Northeastern University1.713.0%1st Place
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12.64University of Vermont1.052.8%1st Place
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13.55Connecticut College0.710.9%1st Place
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13.16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.9%1st Place
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14.58Maine Maritime Academy0.411.1%1st Place
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14.92University of New Hampshire0.101.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Trevor Davis | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Michael Kirkman | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.6% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Will Priebe | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 2.2% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 8.8% |
| Wade Anthony | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 14.6% | 15.4% | 15.5% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 12.1% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 12.2% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 18.4% | 25.9% |
| Sam Harris | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 12.0% | 19.5% | 31.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.