← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University2.45+6.41vs Predicted
-
2Yale University2.92+4.47vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+4.56vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+3.85vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College2.38+3.31vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University3.18-1.13vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University2.12+1.62vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College2.90-1.60vs Predicted
-
9Brown University2.91-2.68vs Predicted
-
10Boston College2.20-2.04vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College0.71+2.63vs Predicted
-
12Boston University1.39-1.39vs Predicted
-
13University of Vermont1.05-0.25vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-0.74vs Predicted
-
15University of Rhode Island2.78-6.52vs Predicted
-
16University of New Hampshire0.10-1.08vs Predicted
-
17Northeastern University1.71-6.16vs Predicted
-
18Maine Maritime Academy0.41-3.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.41Roger Williams University2.456.9%1st Place
-
6.47Yale University2.929.8%1st Place
-
7.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.2%1st Place
-
7.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.486.7%1st Place
-
8.31Bowdoin College2.385.2%1st Place
-
4.87Harvard University3.1814.4%1st Place
-
8.62Tufts University2.125.7%1st Place
-
6.4Dartmouth College2.909.2%1st Place
-
6.32Brown University2.9110.4%1st Place
-
7.96Boston College2.206.9%1st Place
-
13.63Connecticut College0.711.5%1st Place
-
10.61Boston University1.392.8%1st Place
-
12.75University of Vermont1.051.8%1st Place
-
13.26Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.5%1st Place
-
8.48University of Rhode Island2.785.1%1st Place
-
14.92University of New Hampshire0.100.8%1st Place
-
10.84Northeastern University1.713.6%1st Place
-
14.75Maine Maritime Academy0.410.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Justin Callahan | 14.4% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Kirkman | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Wade Anthony | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 16.9% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 8.5% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 11.7% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Sam Harris | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 17.8% | 31.2% |
| Will Priebe | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 2.0% |
| Henri Richardsson | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 20.7% | 26.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.