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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.05+11.87vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+5.56vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.18+1.91vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.45+3.22vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+2.96vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.38+2.43vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.20+0.71vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.78+0.40vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.91-2.76vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.39+0.73vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+2.10vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire0.10+3.02vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.71+0.69vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.71-2.98vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.92-8.37vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.90-9.66vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.12-8.33vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.41-3.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.87University of Vermont1.051.8%1st Place
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7.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.1%1st Place
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4.91Harvard University3.1815.0%1st Place
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7.22Roger Williams University2.457.4%1st Place
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7.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.485.2%1st Place
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8.43Bowdoin College2.385.9%1st Place
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7.71Boston College2.205.9%1st Place
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8.4University of Rhode Island2.785.4%1st Place
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6.24Brown University2.9111.2%1st Place
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10.73Boston University1.393.5%1st Place
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13.1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.8%1st Place
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15.02University of New Hampshire0.100.8%1st Place
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13.69Connecticut College0.711.8%1st Place
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11.02Northeastern University1.712.9%1st Place
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6.63Yale University2.928.9%1st Place
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6.34Dartmouth College2.909.5%1st Place
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8.67Tufts University2.125.6%1st Place
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14.51Maine Maritime Academy0.411.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 9.6% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Justin Callahan | 15.0% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 10.5% |
| Sam Harris | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 18.2% | 31.1% |
| Wade Anthony | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 17.9% | 15.2% |
| Will Priebe | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 2.5% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 18.3% | 27.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.