← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University3.18+3.86vs Predicted
-
2Yale University2.92+4.44vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College2.90+3.12vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+3.65vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island2.78+3.27vs Predicted
-
6Brown University2.91+0.13vs Predicted
-
7Boston College2.20+0.55vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College2.38+0.31vs Predicted
-
9Boston University1.39+1.58vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-2.49vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University1.71-0.26vs Predicted
-
12Connecticut College0.71+1.37vs Predicted
-
13Roger Williams University2.45-5.82vs Predicted
-
14Northwestern University1.49-2.60vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-2.06vs Predicted
-
16University of New Hampshire0.10-1.17vs Predicted
-
17University of Vermont1.05-4.37vs Predicted
-
18Maine Maritime Academy0.41-3.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.86Harvard University3.1815.7%1st Place
-
6.44Yale University2.9210.1%1st Place
-
6.12Dartmouth College2.9010.1%1st Place
-
7.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.486.2%1st Place
-
8.27University of Rhode Island2.785.7%1st Place
-
6.13Brown University2.9110.1%1st Place
-
7.55Boston College2.207.0%1st Place
-
8.31Bowdoin College2.385.7%1st Place
-
10.58Boston University1.393.2%1st Place
-
7.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.1%1st Place
-
10.74Northeastern University1.712.2%1st Place
-
13.37Connecticut College0.711.5%1st Place
-
7.18Roger Williams University2.458.0%1st Place
-
11.4Northwestern University1.493.1%1st Place
-
12.94Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.4%1st Place
-
14.83University of New Hampshire0.100.7%1st Place
-
12.63University of Vermont1.051.5%1st Place
-
14.49Maine Maritime Academy0.410.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 15.7% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Kirkman | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.7% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Will Priebe | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Wade Anthony | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 16.5% | 14.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Shea Smith | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 4.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 10.2% |
| Sam Harris | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 18.1% | 31.2% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 8.6% |
| Henri Richardsson | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 16.7% | 27.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.