Race 6 - frosh-soph | College Sailing Data

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%

Within 2 Positions

0.9

Avg Position Diff

4

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

1

Carly Temple-Wareham & Nicole Chavez

Western Washington University

1.78

+0.86

vs Predicted
2

Andrew Colebrook & Jackson Dean

Western Washington University

1.72

-0.04

vs Predicted
3

Samuel Fletcher & Parker Steichen

University of Washington

1.14

-0.54

vs Predicted
6

Evan Derickson & Keegan Strandness

Western Washington University

-0.69

-2.28

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

1.86

Carly Temple-Wareham & Nicole Chavez

Western Washington University

1.78

0.4%

1st Place
1.96

Andrew Colebrook & Jackson Dean

Western Washington University

1.72

0.4%

1st Place
2.46

Samuel Fletcher & Parker Steichen

University of Washington

1.14

0.2%

1st Place
3.72

Evan Derickson & Keegan Strandness

Western Washington University

-0.69

0.0%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4
Carly Temple-Wareham	42.2%	32.7%	21.5%	3.6%
Andrew Colebrook	35.9%	35.5%	25.4%	3.2%
Samuel Fletcher	20.0%	25.6%	42.9%	11.5%
Evan Derickson	1.9%	6.2%	10.2%	81.7%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.