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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.18+3.80vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+5.60vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.90+3.22vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.92+2.40vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.45+2.20vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.20+1.73vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.91-0.91vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.71+2.63vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University1.49+2.54vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.05+2.76vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.78-2.79vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-4.69vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.39-2.41vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.41+0.49vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.38-6.74vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-3.06vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.71-3.57vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire0.10-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.8Harvard University3.1814.4%1st Place
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7.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.486.3%1st Place
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6.22Dartmouth College2.9010.2%1st Place
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6.4Yale University2.928.4%1st Place
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7.2Roger Williams University2.458.8%1st Place
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7.73Boston College2.207.0%1st Place
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6.09Brown University2.9110.2%1st Place
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10.63Northeastern University1.713.2%1st Place
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11.54Northwestern University1.492.0%1st Place
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12.76University of Vermont1.051.5%1st Place
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8.21University of Rhode Island2.785.9%1st Place
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7.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.8%1st Place
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10.59Boston University1.393.0%1st Place
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14.49Maine Maritime Academy0.410.9%1st Place
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8.26Bowdoin College2.386.4%1st Place
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12.94Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.5%1st Place
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13.43Connecticut College0.711.3%1st Place
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14.78University of New Hampshire0.101.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 14.4% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Michael Kirkman | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Priebe | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Shea Smith | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 4.6% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 8.7% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| Henri Richardsson | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 18.1% | 24.4% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 10.9% |
| Wade Anthony | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 16.0% |
| Sam Harris | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 19.1% | 30.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.