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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.48+5.13vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.73+3.98vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.75+2.58vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.42+1.07vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.68+1.23vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.22+1.09vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.42+2.44vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.58-1.96vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-0.96vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.06-2.11vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.89+0.88vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.07-1.02vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-3.66vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.72-1.87vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy-1.05+1.56vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-1.42vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-0.00-1.22vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.07-5.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.13Harvard University2.489.3%1st Place
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5.98Brown University2.739.2%1st Place
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5.58Dartmouth College2.7511.0%1st Place
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5.07Yale University2.4212.8%1st Place
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6.23Roger Williams University2.689.7%1st Place
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7.09Tufts University2.227.5%1st Place
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9.44University of Rhode Island1.424.0%1st Place
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6.04Boston College2.5810.8%1st Place
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8.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.4%1st Place
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7.89Bowdoin College2.067.0%1st Place
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11.88Connecticut College0.892.2%1st Place
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10.98Northeastern University1.072.9%1st Place
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9.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.933.4%1st Place
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12.13University of Vermont0.721.7%1st Place
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16.56Maine Maritime Academy-1.050.1%1st Place
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14.58Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.8%1st Place
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15.78University of New Hampshire-0.000.3%1st Place
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12.26Boston University1.071.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Callahan | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Guthrie Braun | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.0% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 12.8% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Peter Busch | 10.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Scholz | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 1.4% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Maks Groom | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Potter | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 12.7% | 5.7% | 2.1% |
| Anna LaDue | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 9.9% | 21.3% | 51.2% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 20.0% | 23.2% | 12.2% |
| James Sullivan | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 14.6% | 29.4% | 29.3% |
| Porter Bell | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 7.8% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.