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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.68+5.33vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.22+5.19vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.42+2.07vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.42+5.44vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+2.92vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.73-0.20vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.89+4.97vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.58-1.79vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+0.16vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.06-2.15vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.72+1.14vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.75-6.70vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.07-1.65vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.48-7.89vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-0.51vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.07-3.62vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-0.00-1.30vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy-1.05-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.33Roger Williams University2.689.0%1st Place
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7.19Tufts University2.225.5%1st Place
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5.07Yale University2.4215.2%1st Place
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9.44University of Rhode Island1.423.8%1st Place
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7.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.176.6%1st Place
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5.8Brown University2.7310.5%1st Place
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11.97Connecticut College0.891.5%1st Place
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6.21Boston College2.589.4%1st Place
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9.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.933.9%1st Place
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7.85Bowdoin College2.065.9%1st Place
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12.14University of Vermont0.721.2%1st Place
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5.3Dartmouth College2.7512.2%1st Place
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11.35Northeastern University1.071.6%1st Place
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6.11Harvard University2.4810.8%1st Place
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14.49Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.9%1st Place
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12.38Boston University1.071.6%1st Place
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15.7University of New Hampshire-0.000.4%1st Place
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16.59Maine Maritime Academy-1.050.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos de Castro | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 15.2% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Guthrie Braun | 10.5% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Scholz | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 5.3% | 1.3% |
| Peter Busch | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maks Groom | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bonauto | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Potter | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 7.8% | 1.4% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 12.2% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 20.1% | 22.1% | 12.0% |
| Porter Bell | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 7.8% | 1.8% |
| James Sullivan | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 14.8% | 28.9% | 29.4% |
| Anna LaDue | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 21.6% | 52.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.