← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
2University of Washington0.68+1.42vs Predicted
-
3Western Washington University1.08-0.06vs Predicted
-
4Western Washington University1.48-1.59vs Predicted
-
5Western Washington University0.92-1.94vs Predicted
-
6Western Washington University0.89-2.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.42University of Washington0.680.1%1st Place
-
2.94Western Washington University1.080.2%1st Place
-
2.41Western Washington University1.480.3%1st Place
-
3.06Western Washington University0.920.2%1st Place
-
3.17Western Washington University0.890.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Mallory | 13.5% | 15.5% | 17.4% | 23.0% | 30.6% |
| Ashley Krzeszowski | 19.6% | 21.0% | 21.7% | 21.0% | 16.7% |
| Taylor Martin | 32.2% | 24.8% | 20.9% | 13.9% | 8.2% |
| Jessica Bennett | 17.9% | 20.7% | 19.0% | 21.9% | 20.5% |
| Margaret Okrasinski | 16.8% | 18.0% | 21.0% | 20.2% | 24.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.