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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.42+4.13vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.22+5.09vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.48+3.03vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+5.15vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy-1.05+11.51vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.58+0.31vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.68-0.66vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.42+1.59vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.73-3.12vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.07+1.32vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.06-3.20vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-3.96vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.75-7.72vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.89-2.23vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-0.00+0.87vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.07-3.74vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.72-4.88vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-3.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.13Yale University2.4213.3%1st Place
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7.09Tufts University2.227.2%1st Place
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6.03Harvard University2.489.3%1st Place
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9.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.934.2%1st Place
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16.51Maine Maritime Academy-1.050.4%1st Place
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6.31Boston College2.5810.2%1st Place
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6.34Roger Williams University2.688.3%1st Place
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9.59University of Rhode Island1.423.4%1st Place
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5.88Brown University2.7311.5%1st Place
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11.32Northeastern University1.072.3%1st Place
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7.8Bowdoin College2.066.3%1st Place
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8.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.7%1st Place
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5.28Dartmouth College2.7512.0%1st Place
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11.77Connecticut College0.891.7%1st Place
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15.87University of New Hampshire-0.000.4%1st Place
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12.26Boston University1.071.3%1st Place
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12.12University of Vermont0.721.7%1st Place
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14.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 13.3% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maks Groom | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Anna LaDue | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 19.2% | 52.5% |
| Peter Busch | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Guthrie Braun | 11.5% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 0.5% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 12.0% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Scholz | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 5.2% | 0.9% |
| James Sullivan | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 16.0% | 29.8% | 29.0% |
| Porter Bell | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 8.3% | 2.6% |
| Ryan Potter | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 6.3% | 2.2% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 19.6% | 23.6% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.