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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+8.21vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.58+4.10vs Predicted
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31.42+7.11vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.73+1.91vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.75+0.46vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.42-0.90vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.22-0.01vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.48-1.90vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.68-2.78vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.87+1.58vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.06-3.11vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-3.89vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.07-0.65vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.89-2.12vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy-1.05+1.60vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.07-4.84vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-0.00-1.26vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.03-3.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.933.6%1st Place
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6.1Boston College2.588.8%1st Place
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10.111.422.9%1st Place
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5.91Brown University2.7310.3%1st Place
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5.46Dartmouth College2.7512.4%1st Place
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5.1Yale University2.4213.7%1st Place
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6.99Tufts University2.226.9%1st Place
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6.1Harvard University2.4810.5%1st Place
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6.22Roger Williams University2.689.9%1st Place
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11.58University of Vermont0.871.8%1st Place
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7.89Bowdoin College2.066.4%1st Place
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8.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.5%1st Place
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12.35Boston University1.071.7%1st Place
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11.88Connecticut College0.891.7%1st Place
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16.6Maine Maritime Academy-1.050.3%1st Place
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11.16Northeastern University1.072.4%1st Place
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15.74University of New Hampshire-0.000.7%1st Place
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14.48Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.030.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maks Groom | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Peter Busch | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Lee | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Guthrie Braun | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 12.4% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 13.7% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Porter Bell | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 9.4% | 1.9% |
| Henry Scholz | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 6.1% | 2.0% |
| Anna LaDue | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 9.6% | 22.7% | 52.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
| James Sullivan | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 14.0% | 29.3% | 29.4% |
| Luke Kenahan | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 13.4% | 20.2% | 20.0% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.