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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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11.42+9.38vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.75+3.46vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.06+4.85vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.68+2.24vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.48+1.17vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.58-0.11vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.42-1.93vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.22-0.80vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-0.93vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.07+1.21vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.87+0.60vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-2.94vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.89-1.05vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.03+0.36vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy-1.05+1.53vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-0.00-0.18vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.07-4.65vs Predicted
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18Brown University2.73-12.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.381.422.8%1st Place
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5.46Dartmouth College2.7512.3%1st Place
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7.85Bowdoin College2.065.7%1st Place
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6.24Roger Williams University2.689.3%1st Place
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6.17Harvard University2.4810.1%1st Place
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5.89Boston College2.5810.9%1st Place
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5.07Yale University2.4212.8%1st Place
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7.2Tufts University2.226.2%1st Place
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8.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.174.9%1st Place
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11.21Northeastern University1.071.8%1st Place
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11.6University of Vermont0.871.8%1st Place
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9.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.935.3%1st Place
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11.95Connecticut College0.891.9%1st Place
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14.36Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.030.7%1st Place
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16.53Maine Maritime Academy-1.050.2%1st Place
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15.82University of New Hampshire-0.000.3%1st Place
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12.35Boston University1.071.7%1st Place
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5.78Brown University2.7311.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Lee | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 12.3% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Busch | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 12.8% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 6.0% | 0.9% |
| Maks Groom | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Henry Scholz | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 6.3% | 1.4% |
| Luke Kenahan | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 19.7% | 21.3% | 10.3% |
| Anna LaDue | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 21.1% | 52.2% |
| James Sullivan | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 14.5% | 28.5% | 30.9% |
| Porter Bell | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 9.1% | 2.1% |
| Guthrie Braun | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.