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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+8.21vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.75+3.32vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.68+3.31vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.48+2.07vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.06+2.83vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.39+4.34vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+0.93vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.22-0.88vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.89+2.68vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.87+1.44vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-0.00+4.76vs Predicted
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121.42-1.59vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.07-0.58vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.73-8.08vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.42-9.99vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.56-8.73vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.03-2.61vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy-1.05-1.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.934.0%1st Place
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5.32Dartmouth College2.7511.5%1st Place
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6.31Roger Williams University2.688.7%1st Place
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6.07Harvard University2.489.8%1st Place
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7.83Bowdoin College2.065.5%1st Place
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10.34Northeastern University1.393.9%1st Place
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7.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.176.1%1st Place
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7.12Tufts University2.228.0%1st Place
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11.68Connecticut College0.892.0%1st Place
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11.44University of Vermont0.872.1%1st Place
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15.76University of New Hampshire-0.000.7%1st Place
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10.411.422.6%1st Place
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12.42Boston University1.071.5%1st Place
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5.92Brown University2.7311.2%1st Place
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5.01Yale University2.4214.8%1st Place
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7.27Boston College2.566.7%1st Place
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14.39Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.030.9%1st Place
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16.56Maine Maritime Academy-1.050.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maks Groom | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.5% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Everett Nash | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Henry Scholz | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 5.8% | 1.8% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 5.0% | 1.0% |
| James Sullivan | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 15.0% | 29.2% | 29.6% |
| Henry Lee | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Porter Bell | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 9.3% | 2.2% |
| Guthrie Braun | 11.2% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 14.8% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Kenahan | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 13.1% | 19.1% | 22.7% | 11.1% |
| Anna LaDue | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 20.5% | 53.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.