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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+8.18vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.42+2.98vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.06+5.02vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.48+1.83vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+2.92vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.75-0.64vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.22-0.14vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.68-1.71vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.73-3.01vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.39+0.41vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.56-3.66vs Predicted
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121.42-1.81vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.89-1.06vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.07-1.59vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.87-3.43vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-0.00-0.17vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.03-2.63vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy-1.05-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.934.0%1st Place
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4.98Yale University2.4213.7%1st Place
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8.02Bowdoin College2.065.9%1st Place
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5.83Harvard University2.4810.3%1st Place
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7.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.176.7%1st Place
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5.36Dartmouth College2.7512.2%1st Place
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6.86Tufts University2.228.5%1st Place
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6.29Roger Williams University2.688.9%1st Place
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5.99Brown University2.739.3%1st Place
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10.41Northeastern University1.392.5%1st Place
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7.34Boston College2.568.1%1st Place
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10.191.422.7%1st Place
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11.94Connecticut College0.892.1%1st Place
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12.41Boston University1.071.7%1st Place
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11.57University of Vermont0.871.7%1st Place
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15.83University of New Hampshire-0.000.4%1st Place
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14.37Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.031.1%1st Place
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16.51Maine Maritime Academy-1.050.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maks Groom | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 13.7% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 12.2% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Carlos de Castro | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Guthrie Braun | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Everett Nash | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Lee | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Henry Scholz | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 6.5% | 1.3% |
| Porter Bell | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 14.3% | 9.0% | 2.0% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 5.2% | 1.5% |
| James Sullivan | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 30.0% | 31.6% |
| Luke Kenahan | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 22.1% | 20.3% | 11.8% |
| Anna LaDue | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 9.4% | 22.4% | 50.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.