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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.42+3.91vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.48+3.96vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.73+2.76vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.56+3.12vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.22+2.00vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.06+1.67vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+0.93vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.39+2.12vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.72+2.99vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.68-3.91vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.27+3.07vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-0.00+3.48vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-4.02vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.75-8.75vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.61-5.56vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-1.38vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.07-4.75vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy-1.05-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.91Yale University2.4214.5%1st Place
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5.96Harvard University2.4810.2%1st Place
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5.76Brown University2.7310.6%1st Place
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7.12Boston College2.567.9%1st Place
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7.0Tufts University2.227.3%1st Place
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7.67Bowdoin College2.066.8%1st Place
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7.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.4%1st Place
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10.12Northeastern University1.393.5%1st Place
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11.99University of Vermont0.721.6%1st Place
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6.09Roger Williams University2.688.2%1st Place
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14.07Connecticut College0.270.9%1st Place
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15.48University of New Hampshire-0.000.2%1st Place
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8.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.934.5%1st Place
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5.25Dartmouth College2.7512.7%1st Place
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9.44University of Rhode Island1.613.8%1st Place
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14.62Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.4%1st Place
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12.25Boston University1.071.3%1st Place
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16.34Maine Maritime Academy-1.050.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 14.5% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Guthrie Braun | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Everett Nash | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Potter | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 5.6% | 1.5% |
| Carlos de Castro | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 15.8% | 18.9% | 16.7% | 9.4% |
| James Sullivan | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 16.2% | 26.5% | 25.2% |
| Maks Groom | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 12.7% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miles Williams | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 9.6% | 14.3% | 20.0% | 19.8% | 12.9% |
| Porter Bell | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 16.2% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 2.1% |
| Anna LaDue | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 10.6% | 20.8% | 48.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.