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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.73+4.74vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.75+3.34vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.48+2.93vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.42+0.94vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.68+1.07vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+3.15vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.72+4.96vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.56-0.80vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.22-2.12vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.06-2.36vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.39-1.04vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.27+2.18vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-5.07vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.61-4.44vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-0.55vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.07-3.98vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-0.00-1.38vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy-1.05-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.74Brown University2.7311.3%1st Place
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5.34Dartmouth College2.7512.2%1st Place
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5.93Harvard University2.489.0%1st Place
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4.94Yale University2.4213.6%1st Place
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6.07Roger Williams University2.689.3%1st Place
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9.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.933.9%1st Place
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11.96University of Vermont0.721.4%1st Place
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7.2Boston College2.567.0%1st Place
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6.88Tufts University2.227.6%1st Place
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7.64Bowdoin College2.066.7%1st Place
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9.96Northeastern University1.393.0%1st Place
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14.18Connecticut College0.270.7%1st Place
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7.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.177.2%1st Place
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9.56University of Rhode Island1.613.6%1st Place
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14.45Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.031.1%1st Place
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12.02Boston University1.071.8%1st Place
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15.62University of New Hampshire-0.000.4%1st Place
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16.43Maine Maritime Academy-1.050.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guthrie Braun | 11.3% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 12.2% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 13.6% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maks Groom | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Potter | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Everett Nash | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 10.7% | 14.9% | 19.1% | 17.8% | 9.3% |
| Daniel Unangst | 7.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Miles Williams | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Andy Leshaw | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 15.9% | 18.9% | 19.4% | 12.1% |
| Porter Bell | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 6.3% | 1.9% |
| James Sullivan | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 15.8% | 26.2% | 26.9% |
| Anna LaDue | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 10.5% | 22.0% | 48.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.