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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.42+3.75vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.68+4.04vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.56+4.18vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+3.56vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.75+0.26vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.48-0.22vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.73-1.35vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.06-0.40vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.42-0.03vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-1.26vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.22-4.23vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-0.00+2.79vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.72-1.55vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.39-4.29vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-1.25vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy-1.05-0.48vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.27-3.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.75Yale University2.4215.2%1st Place
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6.04Roger Williams University2.688.9%1st Place
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7.18Boston College2.567.4%1st Place
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7.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.176.5%1st Place
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5.26Dartmouth College2.7510.8%1st Place
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5.78Harvard University2.4810.8%1st Place
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5.65Brown University2.7311.7%1st Place
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7.6Bowdoin College2.065.9%1st Place
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8.97University of Rhode Island1.423.5%1st Place
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8.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.935.0%1st Place
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6.77Tufts University2.227.6%1st Place
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14.79University of New Hampshire-0.000.4%1st Place
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11.45University of Vermont0.721.7%1st Place
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9.71Northeastern University1.393.4%1st Place
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13.75Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.5%1st Place
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15.52Maine Maritime Academy-1.050.2%1st Place
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13.49Connecticut College0.270.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 15.2% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.8% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Guthrie Braun | 11.7% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Maks Groom | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Sullivan | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 16.2% | 27.3% | 28.3% |
| Ryan Potter | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 6.5% | 1.5% |
| Everett Nash | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 15.0% | 20.8% | 20.6% | 11.8% |
| Anna LaDue | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 12.4% | 21.2% | 48.4% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 10.0% | 16.1% | 21.4% | 19.4% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.