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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.68+5.04vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.48+3.85vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.75+2.16vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.73+1.67vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.22+1.79vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+2.71vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.06+0.56vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-0.45vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.42-4.22vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.56-2.97vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.39-1.20vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.72-0.53vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.27+0.54vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.42-4.88vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-0.00-0.26vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-2.32vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy-1.05-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.04Roger Williams University2.6810.8%1st Place
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5.85Harvard University2.489.9%1st Place
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5.16Dartmouth College2.7513.0%1st Place
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5.67Brown University2.7310.4%1st Place
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6.79Tufts University2.228.3%1st Place
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8.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.934.8%1st Place
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7.56Bowdoin College2.065.0%1st Place
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7.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.9%1st Place
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4.78Yale University2.4214.5%1st Place
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7.03Boston College2.566.5%1st Place
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9.8Northeastern University1.393.0%1st Place
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11.47University of Vermont0.721.8%1st Place
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13.54Connecticut College0.270.7%1st Place
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9.12University of Rhode Island1.423.9%1st Place
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14.74University of New Hampshire-0.000.4%1st Place
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13.68Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.9%1st Place
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15.52Maine Maritime Academy-1.050.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos de Castro | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 13.0% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Guthrie Braun | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maks Groom | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bonauto | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 14.5% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Everett Nash | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Potter | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 14.2% | 17.1% | 12.8% | 6.2% | 1.7% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 15.5% | 21.4% | 19.7% | 9.3% |
| Tyler Nash | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| James Sullivan | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 15.3% | 27.9% | 28.3% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 21.4% | 20.8% | 11.7% |
| Anna LaDue | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 12.3% | 20.9% | 48.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.