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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.42+3.86vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.68+4.00vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.73+2.78vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.48+1.87vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.75+0.22vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.56+1.04vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.06+0.57vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+0.75vs Predicted
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91.42+0.92vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.22-3.21vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.07-0.17vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-4.45vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.89-1.75vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.87-2.93vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-0.00+0.05vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy-1.05-0.35vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.86Yale University2.4214.1%1st Place
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6.0Roger Williams University2.688.9%1st Place
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5.78Brown University2.7310.0%1st Place
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5.87Harvard University2.4810.2%1st Place
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5.22Dartmouth College2.7514.4%1st Place
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7.04Boston College2.567.0%1st Place
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7.57Bowdoin College2.065.7%1st Place
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8.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.934.6%1st Place
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9.921.422.3%1st Place
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6.79Tufts University2.228.2%1st Place
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10.83Northeastern University1.072.4%1st Place
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7.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.176.2%1st Place
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11.25Connecticut College0.892.2%1st Place
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11.07University of Vermont0.872.4%1st Place
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15.05University of New Hampshire-0.000.1%1st Place
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15.65Maine Maritime Academy-1.050.5%1st Place
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13.82Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 14.1% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 8.9% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Guthrie Braun | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 14.4% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Maks Groom | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Henry Lee | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Ben Mueller | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 10.8% | 5.1% | 0.9% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Henry Scholz | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 13.1% | 6.7% | 1.8% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 6.0% | 1.5% |
| James Sullivan | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 7.7% | 14.4% | 32.0% | 30.3% |
| Anna LaDue | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 11.2% | 21.6% | 52.1% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 12.7% | 22.9% | 23.3% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.