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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.42+3.76vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.73+3.83vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.75+2.18vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.22+2.75vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.48+0.73vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.56+1.22vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.68-0.94vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.07+2.70vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-1.29vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-1.23vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.89+0.54vs Predicted
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121.42-2.24vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.06-5.42vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy-1.05+1.57vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.87-3.97vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-2.16vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-0.00-2.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.76Yale University2.4216.0%1st Place
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5.83Brown University2.7311.2%1st Place
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5.18Dartmouth College2.7512.7%1st Place
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6.75Tufts University2.228.2%1st Place
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5.73Harvard University2.4810.8%1st Place
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7.22Boston College2.566.3%1st Place
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6.06Roger Williams University2.689.4%1st Place
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10.7Northeastern University1.071.9%1st Place
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7.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.7%1st Place
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8.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.933.9%1st Place
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11.54Connecticut College0.891.4%1st Place
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9.761.422.8%1st Place
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7.58Bowdoin College2.066.3%1st Place
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15.57Maine Maritime Academy-1.050.2%1st Place
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11.03University of Vermont0.872.1%1st Place
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13.84Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.5%1st Place
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14.96University of New Hampshire-0.000.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 16.0% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Guthrie Braun | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 12.7% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Maks Groom | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Henry Scholz | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 17.6% | 14.4% | 6.9% | 1.7% |
| Henry Lee | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Anna LaDue | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 10.0% | 22.4% | 51.0% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 6.3% | 1.4% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 22.4% | 25.2% | 12.8% |
| James Sullivan | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 14.3% | 29.6% | 31.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.