← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.13+0.63vs Predicted
-
2University of California at San Diego-0.90+4.32vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+0.84vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Berkeley0.86-0.87vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Los Angeles-1.09+2.31vs Predicted
-
6University of Southern California-2.24+3.12vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Davis-1.41+0.48vs Predicted
-
8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.00-1.10vs Predicted
-
9Arizona State University-0.69-3.08vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Berkeley-0.84-3.89vs Predicted
-
11Arizona State University-1.72-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.63Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.1359.2%1st Place
-
6.32University of California at San Diego-0.902.5%1st Place
-
3.84University of California at Santa Cruz0.8610.7%1st Place
-
3.13University of California at Berkeley0.8614.2%1st Place
-
7.31University of California at Los Angeles-1.091.5%1st Place
-
9.12University of Southern California-2.240.5%1st Place
-
7.48University of California at Davis-1.411.2%1st Place
-
6.9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.002.5%1st Place
-
5.92Arizona State University-0.693.6%1st Place
-
6.11University of California at Berkeley-0.843.5%1st Place
-
8.24Arizona State University-1.720.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Headington | 59.2% | 25.4% | 10.2% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Kalway | 2.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 3.6% |
| Blake Roberts | 10.7% | 16.9% | 20.2% | 18.1% | 15.2% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Carsten Zieger | 14.2% | 26.9% | 22.4% | 18.4% | 9.6% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liam Williams | 1.5% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 9.8% |
| Maximilian Miesen | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 17.2% | 41.7% |
| Juliette Cramer | 1.2% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 15.3% | 12.0% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 2.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 7.1% |
| Jaquelyn Quintana | 3.6% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 1.8% |
| Bianca Weber | 3.5% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 6.9% | 1.9% |
| Christopher Moore | 0.8% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 20.1% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.