Race 2A

longfellow-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Ryan Mullins 17.9% 15.4% 16.1% 12.5% 10.9% 10.4% 5.7% 5.3% 3.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
Jeff Goodrich 8.0% 10.7% 10.0% 10.0% 10.5% 10.3% 10.0% 10.7% 8.3% 6.1% 4.2% 1.2%
Daniel Perkins 19.7% 16.9% 14.9% 13.3% 11.0% 9.7% 6.6% 4.2% 2.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Colin Santangelo 8.5% 12.0% 10.3% 12.4% 9.4% 9.5% 11.8% 8.9% 8.9% 5.2% 2.0% 1.1%
Charles Field 4.9% 6.5% 5.4% 6.0% 8.2% 9.0% 9.2% 10.7% 10.7% 12.3% 10.5% 6.6%
Connor Aswad 14.2% 13.4% 13.5% 11.6% 12.6% 9.9% 8.9% 6.6% 4.7% 3.3% 1.1% 0.2%
Alden Winder 3.9% 3.5% 3.5% 4.9% 6.3% 6.1% 6.9% 8.2% 11.6% 14.5% 16.9% 13.7%
Christopher Edwards 3.2% 3.6% 3.1% 4.4% 4.5% 5.1% 5.4% 8.2% 8.4% 13.8% 20.2% 20.1%
Tevis Nichols 4.7% 4.3% 7.1% 7.2% 7.9% 8.1% 11.5% 11.7% 11.6% 10.8% 10.1% 5.0%
Owen Richardson 6.6% 5.8% 6.9% 6.4% 7.3% 9.1% 10.7% 11.6% 11.5% 11.3% 8.6% 4.2%
Eric Schwarm 7.0% 6.0% 7.4% 9.7% 8.2% 10.9% 10.2% 9.6% 10.8% 10.2% 7.2% 2.8%
Emerson Krock 1.4% 1.9% 1.8% 1.6% 3.2% 1.9% 3.1% 4.3% 7.2% 9.9% 18.7% 45.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.