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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University1.59+7.99vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia3.01+2.53vs Predicted
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3Stevens Institute of Technology2.02+4.73vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania3.16+0.25vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.57+4.08vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University1.95+2.18vs Predicted
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7University of Buffalo2.44-0.64vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.85-2.97vs Predicted
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9Columbia University2.43-2.47vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.11-2.66vs Predicted
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11Queen's University1.79-2.39vs Predicted
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12Princeton University0.88-0.50vs Predicted
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13William and Mary0.66-0.70vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute1.13-3.14vs Predicted
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15Rochester Institute of Technology0.36-2.04vs Predicted
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16Drexel University0.72-3.91vs Predicted
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17American University-2.08-0.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.99Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
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4.53University of Virginia3.010.2%1st Place
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7.73Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.1%1st Place
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4.25University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
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9.08George Washington University1.570.0%1st Place
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8.18Monmouth University1.950.0%1st Place
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6.36University of Buffalo2.440.1%1st Place
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5.03Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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6.53Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
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7.34Fordham University2.110.1%1st Place
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8.61Queen's University1.790.0%1st Place
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11.5Princeton University0.880.0%1st Place
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12.3William and Mary0.660.0%1st Place
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10.86Webb Institute1.130.0%1st Place
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12.96Rochester Institute of Technology0.360.0%1st Place
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12.09Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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16.65American University-2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domenic Re | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Stessing | 17.0% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Geary | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Jack Swikart | 18.8% | 15.4% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hussain Patel | 3.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
| Paul Stevens | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Orr | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 14.4% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Irene Jacqz | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mia Cooper | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Charles Legge | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Cobbs | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 1.6% |
| Andrew Bryan | 0.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 17.1% | 17.3% | 3.9% |
| James Codega | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 7.7% | 0.4% |
| John Handel | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 30.3% | 4.0% |
| Jason Sinclair | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 17.1% | 2.0% |
| Seth Yates | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 87.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.