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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.16+3.11vs Predicted
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2Stevens Institute of Technology2.02+5.65vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.85+2.03vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.57+5.30vs Predicted
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5University of Buffalo2.44+1.21vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.11+1.57vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia3.01-2.39vs Predicted
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8Villanova University1.59+1.06vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University1.95-0.87vs Predicted
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10Drexel University0.72+2.02vs Predicted
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11Columbia University2.43-4.56vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute1.13-1.25vs Predicted
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13Rochester Institute of Technology0.36+0.08vs Predicted
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14Queen's University1.79-5.38vs Predicted
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15Princeton University0.88-3.51vs Predicted
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16William and Mary0.66-3.70vs Predicted
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17American University-2.08-0.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.11University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
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7.65Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.1%1st Place
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5.03Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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9.3George Washington University1.570.0%1st Place
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6.21University of Buffalo2.440.1%1st Place
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7.57Fordham University2.110.1%1st Place
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4.61University of Virginia3.010.2%1st Place
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9.06Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
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8.13Monmouth University1.950.0%1st Place
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12.02Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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6.44Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
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10.75Webb Institute1.130.0%1st Place
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13.08Rochester Institute of Technology0.360.0%1st Place
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8.62Queen's University1.790.0%1st Place
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11.49Princeton University0.880.0%1st Place
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12.3William and Mary0.660.0%1st Place
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16.64American University-2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Swikart | 18.7% | 16.3% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Geary | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 13.5% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hussain Patel | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| Griffin Orr | 8.1% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mia Cooper | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 15.1% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Re | 4.7% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Paul Stevens | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Jason Sinclair | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 2.1% |
| Irene Jacqz | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Codega | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 1.0% |
| John Handel | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 12.5% | 16.9% | 27.0% | 6.3% |
| Charles Legge | 3.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Cobbs | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 15.6% | 12.7% | 1.4% |
| Andrew Bryan | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 20.1% | 2.4% |
| Seth Yates | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 6.8% | 86.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.