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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.16+3.13vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.85+2.98vs Predicted
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3Columbia University2.43+3.31vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology2.02+3.73vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia3.01-0.46vs Predicted
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6Villanova University1.59+3.35vs Predicted
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7Queen's University1.79+1.50vs Predicted
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8University of Buffalo2.44-1.73vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University1.95-0.93vs Predicted
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10Rochester Institute of Technology0.36+3.03vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.11-3.51vs Predicted
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12Drexel University0.72+0.01vs Predicted
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13William and Mary0.66-0.77vs Predicted
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14Princeton University0.88-2.33vs Predicted
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15Webb Institute1.13-4.27vs Predicted
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16George Washington University1.57-6.69vs Predicted
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17American University-2.08-0.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.13University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
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4.98Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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6.31Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
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7.73Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.1%1st Place
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4.54University of Virginia3.010.2%1st Place
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9.35Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
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8.5Queen's University1.790.0%1st Place
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6.27University of Buffalo2.440.1%1st Place
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8.07Monmouth University1.950.0%1st Place
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13.03Rochester Institute of Technology0.360.0%1st Place
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7.49Fordham University2.110.1%1st Place
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12.01Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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12.23William and Mary0.660.0%1st Place
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11.67Princeton University0.880.0%1st Place
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10.73Webb Institute1.130.0%1st Place
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9.31George Washington University1.570.0%1st Place
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16.65American University-2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Swikart | 17.9% | 16.3% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 13.3% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Irene Jacqz | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Geary | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 15.9% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Re | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Charles Legge | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Griffin Orr | 10.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Paul Stevens | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| John Handel | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 17.0% | 25.2% | 4.9% |
| Mia Cooper | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jason Sinclair | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 17.3% | 3.0% |
| Andrew Bryan | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 16.3% | 17.4% | 3.7% |
| Lucy Cobbs | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 1.2% |
| James Codega | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 0.5% |
| Hussain Patel | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Seth Yates | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 7.5% | 86.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.