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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.85+3.92vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.16+2.13vs Predicted
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3Stevens Institute of Technology2.02+4.72vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology0.36+9.00vs Predicted
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5Drexel University0.72+6.89vs Predicted
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6Princeton University0.88+5.75vs Predicted
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7University of Buffalo2.44-0.67vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia3.01-3.43vs Predicted
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9Queen's University1.79-0.34vs Predicted
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10Monmouth University1.95-2.19vs Predicted
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11Columbia University2.43-4.51vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute1.13-1.28vs Predicted
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13Villanova University1.59-3.64vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.57-4.58vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.11-7.67vs Predicted
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16William and Mary0.66-3.73vs Predicted
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17American University-2.08-0.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.92Cornell University2.850.2%1st Place
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4.13University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
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7.72Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.0%1st Place
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13.0Rochester Institute of Technology0.360.0%1st Place
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11.89Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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11.75Princeton University0.880.0%1st Place
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6.33University of Buffalo2.440.1%1st Place
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4.57University of Virginia3.010.2%1st Place
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8.66Queen's University1.790.0%1st Place
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7.81Monmouth University1.950.0%1st Place
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6.49Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
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10.72Webb Institute1.130.0%1st Place
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9.36Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
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9.42George Washington University1.570.0%1st Place
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7.33Fordham University2.110.1%1st Place
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12.27William and Mary0.660.0%1st Place
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16.64American University-2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Borshoff | 15.4% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 18.0% | 16.9% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Geary | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| John Handel | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 12.2% | 16.5% | 28.8% | 3.6% |
| Jason Sinclair | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 16.4% | 2.6% |
| Lucy Cobbs | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 1.7% |
| Griffin Orr | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 16.7% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Legge | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Paul Stevens | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Irene Jacqz | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Codega | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 7.5% | 0.7% |
| Domenic Re | 3.0% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Hussain Patel | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Mia Cooper | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Bryan | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 13.3% | 15.8% | 18.1% | 2.4% |
| Seth Yates | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 87.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.