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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Monmouth University1.95+6.89vs Predicted
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2Stevens Institute of Technology2.02+5.80vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania3.16+1.24vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.01+3.97vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.85+0.03vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia3.01-1.19vs Predicted
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7Villanova University1.59+2.47vs Predicted
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8Queen's University1.79+0.51vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.57+0.68vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute1.13+0.93vs Predicted
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11Columbia University2.43-4.43vs Predicted
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12Princeton University1.23-1.36vs Predicted
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13University of Buffalo2.44-6.48vs Predicted
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14William and Mary1.27-3.29vs Predicted
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15Drexel University0.72-2.78vs Predicted
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16Rochester Institute of Technology0.36-2.69vs Predicted
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17American University-2.08-0.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.89Monmouth University1.950.1%1st Place
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7.8Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.1%1st Place
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4.24University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
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7.97Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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5.03Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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4.81University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
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9.47Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
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8.51Queen's University1.790.1%1st Place
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9.68George Washington University1.570.0%1st Place
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10.93Webb Institute1.130.0%1st Place
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6.57Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
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10.64Princeton University1.230.0%1st Place
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6.52University of Buffalo2.440.1%1st Place
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10.71William and Mary1.270.0%1st Place
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12.22Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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13.31Rochester Institute of Technology0.360.0%1st Place
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16.69American University-2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Stevens | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Christian Geary | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 16.7% | 17.7% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Titcomb | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 13.8% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 14.2% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Re | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 0.4% |
| Charles Legge | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Hussain Patel | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% | 0.4% |
| James Codega | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 1.2% |
| Irene Jacqz | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Eysenbach | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 0.8% |
| Griffin Orr | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Conway | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 0.5% |
| Jason Sinclair | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 12.3% | 17.8% | 20.6% | 2.4% |
| John Handel | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 15.3% | 31.3% | 5.6% |
| Seth Yates | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 5.9% | 88.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.