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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.16+3.19vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.85+3.05vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia3.01+1.69vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology2.02+3.90vs Predicted
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5Villanova University1.59+4.27vs Predicted
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6University of Buffalo2.44+0.64vs Predicted
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7Columbia University2.43-0.48vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University1.95-0.01vs Predicted
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9Queen's University1.79-0.14vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.01-2.20vs Predicted
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11Princeton University1.23-0.24vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.57-2.54vs Predicted
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13William and Mary1.27-2.37vs Predicted
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14Rochester Institute of Technology0.36-0.70vs Predicted
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15Webb Institute1.13-4.03vs Predicted
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16Drexel University0.72-3.69vs Predicted
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17American University-2.08-0.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.19University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
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5.05Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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4.69University of Virginia3.010.2%1st Place
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7.9Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.1%1st Place
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9.27Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
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6.64University of Buffalo2.440.1%1st Place
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6.52Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
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7.99Monmouth University1.950.1%1st Place
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8.86Queen's University1.790.0%1st Place
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7.8Fordham University2.010.0%1st Place
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10.76Princeton University1.230.0%1st Place
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9.46George Washington University1.570.0%1st Place
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10.63William and Mary1.270.0%1st Place
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13.3Rochester Institute of Technology0.360.0%1st Place
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10.97Webb Institute1.130.0%1st Place
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12.31Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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16.68American University-2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Swikart | 18.2% | 15.8% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 13.1% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 15.2% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Geary | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Re | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Griffin Orr | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Irene Jacqz | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Paul Stevens | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Charles Legge | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Edward Titcomb | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Lindsay Eysenbach | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 1.0% |
| Hussain Patel | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 0.4% |
| Jonathan Conway | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 1.8% |
| John Handel | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 17.0% | 33.8% | 4.9% |
| James Codega | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 0.7% |
| Jason Sinclair | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 19.6% | 2.3% |
| Seth Yates | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 5.5% | 88.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.