Race 7A

maisa-women-fall-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Piper Holthus 18.7% 17.9% 15.2% 11.9% 11.5% 8.2% 7.0% 5.5% 2.5% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Eva Blauvelt 17.4% 16.2% 12.6% 13.2% 10.8% 9.7% 7.6% 4.5% 4.3% 2.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
Elizabeth Gildea 5.7% 5.2% 6.5% 5.9% 6.4% 7.3% 9.0% 9.8% 10.3% 10.1% 10.0% 7.1% 5.4% 1.5%
Torrey Chisari 13.1% 12.7% 11.8% 11.9% 10.3% 10.7% 8.8% 8.2% 5.1% 3.9% 2.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
Avery Canavan 5.5% 5.9% 7.2% 6.3% 9.8% 8.9% 7.5% 10.0% 10.2% 9.1% 9.0% 6.0% 3.5% 1.0%
Elizabeth Cutler 4.4% 5.0% 6.7% 5.9% 6.3% 7.7% 7.4% 9.6% 10.7% 10.3% 10.4% 8.1% 5.9% 1.7%
Laura Smith 3.2% 3.4% 4.4% 5.3% 5.8% 5.2% 7.8% 8.2% 8.6% 11.8% 12.2% 12.0% 8.9% 3.2%
Kennedy Jones 2.2% 2.6% 2.6% 4.3% 4.1% 5.2% 6.5% 5.9% 7.9% 10.5% 10.4% 15.5% 14.6% 7.5%
J.J. Smith 11.7% 12.1% 11.3% 13.2% 10.4% 10.7% 9.2% 7.4% 5.6% 4.1% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Heather Kerns 9.9% 8.8% 9.8% 9.4% 10.2% 9.7% 9.2% 10.2% 8.0% 6.5% 4.6% 2.5% 1.0% 0.2%
Cho-Cho Williams 4.3% 4.9% 5.2% 5.8% 6.7% 7.6% 9.3% 9.3% 10.3% 10.1% 10.0% 9.7% 5.5% 1.5%
Annika VanderHorst 2.4% 3.4% 4.0% 4.5% 4.4% 5.8% 6.7% 7.5% 9.9% 10.2% 12.8% 13.8% 10.9% 3.9%
Evelyn Walsh 0.8% 1.1% 1.2% 0.8% 1.7% 1.6% 1.8% 1.8% 2.9% 5.0% 7.0% 10.6% 22.2% 41.6%
Rose von Eckartsberg 0.8% 0.9% 1.6% 1.5% 1.8% 1.8% 2.1% 2.2% 3.7% 5.5% 7.3% 12.1% 21.1% 37.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.