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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.85+4.03vs Predicted
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2Queen's University1.79+6.54vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.01+4.94vs Predicted
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4Villanova University1.59+5.39vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania3.16-0.79vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology2.02+2.05vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia3.01-2.30vs Predicted
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8University of Buffalo2.44-1.63vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University1.95-0.73vs Predicted
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10William and Mary1.27+0.47vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.57-1.37vs Predicted
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12Drexel University0.72+0.21vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute1.13-1.92vs Predicted
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14Columbia University2.43-7.46vs Predicted
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15Princeton University1.23-4.42vs Predicted
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16Rochester Institute of Technology0.36-2.66vs Predicted
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17American University-2.08-0.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.03Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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8.54Queen's University1.790.0%1st Place
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7.94Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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9.39Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
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4.21University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
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8.05Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.1%1st Place
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4.7University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
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6.37University of Buffalo2.440.1%1st Place
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8.27Monmouth University1.950.0%1st Place
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10.47William and Mary1.270.0%1st Place
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9.63George Washington University1.570.0%1st Place
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12.21Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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11.08Webb Institute1.130.0%1st Place
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6.54Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
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10.58Princeton University1.230.0%1st Place
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13.34Rochester Institute of Technology0.360.0%1st Place
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16.66American University-2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Borshoff | 14.4% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Legge | 4.8% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Edward Titcomb | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Domenic Re | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 0.6% |
| Jack Swikart | 17.9% | 17.4% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Geary | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 14.4% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Orr | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Paul Stevens | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Conway | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 0.5% |
| Hussain Patel | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 0.2% |
| Jason Sinclair | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 16.5% | 20.5% | 3.1% |
| James Codega | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 2.5% |
| Irene Jacqz | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Eysenbach | 2.4% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 0.6% |
| John Handel | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 18.8% | 30.1% | 5.4% |
| Seth Yates | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 6.4% | 87.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.